In the opinion of connectivity software specialist VNC Automotive, the global semiconductor shortage will have far-reaching and long-lasting effects that are likely to have a greater impact on the automotive industry than the Covid pandemic.
“It’s become clear that the effects of the semiconductor shortage will long outlast the pandemic,” Tom Blackie, founder and CEO, VNC Automotive, said. “In conversations with clients and suppliers, it’s become clear that the effects of the semiconductor shortage will long outlast the pandemic, and will potentially have a far more serious impact on sales and future development. Some of our suppliers are seeing prices for chips that are more than 30 times higher than before, and at that level, their use is no longer sustainable.
“We’re even seeing vehicle buyers and fleet operators having to consider purchasing models that aren’t on their preferred lists because that’s all that’s available. At a time when the industry is asking people to consider making the switch to EVs, supply restrictions are leaving them frustrated.”
Disruptions in the supply chain caused by fires and natural disasters at critical production plants have been compounded by an increase in demand for electronic devices and the car industry’s faster-than-anticipated sales rebound after enforced factory shutdowns.
With OEMs feeling the pinch, some are taking evasive action. On its most recent earnings call, Tesla CEO Elon Musk covered the issue of substituting alternative chips into production vehicles – having to write the new firmware in a “matter of weeks”, and the “intense effort” this approach required. Obviously, this is an approach that many manufacturers will not be able to take.
“Suppliers and OEMs may now be forced to simplify their designs to use fewer complex components that are still available,” Blackie continued. “And we’re concerned this will lead to a reduction in functionality at a time when consumer expectations have never been higher.”
“It’s also possible that systems hurriedly adapted to use a simpler component set may quickly be left behind as future generations of mobile phones cease to support the older platforms they may be built on.”
In an effort to circumvent the situation some companies, such as Bosch, are looking at establishing their own manufacturing plants in order to create a guaranteed chain of supply. But this is not without its own implications, particularly regarding increased costs and the possible negative knock-on effect for previously planned investment.
As a specialist in complex software integration, VNC Automotive says it has been looking at ways it can improve the situation for its customers by replicating much of the processing normally performed in silicon with rapidly deployed software instead.